Updated: May 15
Everyone that has ever dabbled with football betting has surely fantasized about striking it lucky either on a regular basis or in a big way. Well, gambling does have an element of luck to it but there is also a lot more to being a successful punter than luck alone. Here we’ll help you on your gambling journey with 10 tips to help you win on football bets.
1. Follow a Tipster
You could have a brilliant system where your first bet loses but, equally, you might find a loss doesn’t arrive until much further down the line. Why do we mention this? It’s all about remaining grounded. Don’t throw your strategy in the bin at the first sign of a losing bet but, equally, don’t get cocky and start throwing money you can’t afford to lose on a strategy that has won you 10 out of 10 wagers. Even the best run will eventually throw out a losing bet.
Yes, it’s true, following a tipster won’t guarantee you winning bets. Following a good one, however, will increase your chances. Why? Their tips are based off the back of extensive research and analysis meaning the ability to find ‘value’ in a bet is greatly increased.
The reason we reference best tipster as a go to tipster is because they provide best tips per day (on average) and average a monthly profit of nearly £200, which is over a 10% return on investment.
2. Try Matched Betting
Matched betting is a well-known betting strategy amongst experienced bettors. It utilises the free bets offered by online bookies and then uses a betting exchange to ‘lay’ off your bet to guarantee a profitable return. In a match result bet, the way this works is that your bet covers one potential outcome of the bet i.e. “I bet team A will win” whilst the ‘lay’ element covers the other two i.e. “I bet team A will not win”.
3. Consider Arbitrage Opportunities
Right, we’ve just touched on the fact that profit is king. Arbitrage bets are opportunities that guarantee you a profit. Generally speaking, you’ll find that arbitrage bets generate profit in the sub 5% range. For those of you less comfortable with percentages that means for £100 staked you will make £5 profit.
On the surface of it, that doesn’t sound like much but the £100 you put down isn’t at risk with arbitrage bets and, given you could have that £5 back in your bank with 90 minutes, it’s pretty easy money.
4. Take the Small Profits
The amount of people you hear citing big potential returns is infuriating. Anyone can place a bet that boasts a big return but it counts for nothing unless your bet comes in. You will find very few professional bettors who target enormous odds. Why? Well, the odds are so long for a reason in that they probably won’t come in.
Don’t get caught up chasing a large bet slip. Instead, recognise that profit is profit no matter how small it is. This means you might begin to tailor your bets to those that are more likely to win; think of markets like ‘double chance’ and ‘over and under goals’.
5. Understand All Betting Markets
It sounds very simple but when you start to get serious about betting it is imperative that you understand the markets that exist. After all, failure to do so leaves you open to a) making silly mistakes and b) missing great opportunities to make money.
The standard market in football betting is ‘match result’ bets, which is where you predict the outcome of a match i.e. home win, away win or draw. There are countless others for you to explore though. We don’t want to provide an exhaustive list but to give you a flavour of what is available we’ve briefly detailed a few:
Double Chance – this is a play on the match result bet where you cover two possible outcomes e.g. home win or draw. It’s an easier bet to win but odds are shorter.
BTTS Result – again, this is similar to the match result bet but in addition to correctly predicting the match outcome both teams must score. It’s a harder bet to win but odds are longer.
Over/Under goals – in this market you don’t care about who wins the match. The only thing that matters is how many goals are scored.
6. Use Different Bookmakers
If you’ve been around the betting world for any considerable period of time you’ll probably be well aware of how odds can vary across bookmakers (this drives the arbitrage opportunities mentioned in tip 3). If you’re new to football betting, this might be a surprise to you. Think of it this way; you wouldn’t shop in Waitrose and expect their goods to be priced like Lidl. Bookies are the same – they price an event in the way they feel it offers value.
Take the Carabao Cup semi-final between Tottenham and Brentford as an example. A bet on Spurs to qualify offers odds ranging between 1/5 and 3/13. What does this mean? Well, if you were to wager £25 on that outcome it’s the difference between returning £5 profit or £5.77 profit. The other option is to bet on Brentford to qualify where the best odds would see you pocket £87.50 profit and the worst just £80.
When you’re betting on a regular basis, taking the best odds for every wager you place can make a big difference to your profit. More to the point, why would you leave money on the table for the exact same risk?
7. Track Your Bets
Right, we’ve just touched on using different betting markets and switching up who you bet with. If you heed that advice then the next thing you’ll want to do is keep a log of your bets. The reason for this is two-fold.
Firstly, tracking your bets means it’s impossible to falsely convince yourself of how well you’re doing whilst the other reason directly feeds into making you more money. How? Well, as your ‘data’ builds up you’ll quickly be able to see which bets – and which markets – are contributing the most to your profit. If there is a market you’re constantly losing money on then maybe leave it alone. Equally, if you’re winning lots of bets in a market then consider doing more bets of that nature.
8. Never Bet With Your Gut
You might be familiar with the ‘hunch’ punters get when placing a bet. If you’re serious about making consistent money from football betting then forget about following yours. Your gut feel counts for little in betting as does following your heart over your head. So, what is the reverse of trusting your gut? Doing your research.
A lot of our tips to this point have been focussed on exploiting resources and existing strategies already out there. To up your betting game, start doing your own research too. The basic places to start involve checking out the recent form of the teams you’re betting on, how many goals they score, how they differ home and away and how teams fare against one another in head to head scenarios.
9. Consider Rolling Accumulators
Forget everything you know about the word ‘accumulator’ because a rolling accumulator is not the same thing. Instead of making multiple selections on the same bet slip you choose one event to bet on. When that wins, you then choose another solitary event to place your entire winnings on and so on.
The reason this is a popular method of betting is because you can start off with a smaller stake and aim to build up a bigger pool to wager. Here is a quick look at how the strategy snowballs.
£5 on Liverpool to beat Southampton returns £15.50 (event takes place Monday)
£15.50 on Tottenham to beat Brentford returns £22.39 (event takes place Tuesday)
£22.39 on Manchester City to beat Manchester United returns £44.78 (event takes place Wednesday)
£44.78 on Wolves to beat Crystal Palace returns £87.32 (event takes place Friday)
Of course, following this method can still lead to you losing a hefty stake – and yes it is real money – but your actual bank account is still only down by the initial £10 stake. There is also a tweak to the method where you take your initial stake – or a proportion of it – off your first win to protect your investment.
10. Don’t be Fearful of a Losing Bet
Unfortunately, with the exception of a couple of these tips, we’re talking about full blown gambling and that means you can – and will – lose bets. Everyone loses bets from time to time. If, however, you follow a consistent betting strategy the chances of you coming out ‘up’ over the longer term are greatly improved. It’s also important to remember that your loss can come at any point.